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Published: 18th December 2009
What's stress testing about?
The regulator is imposing a stress testing regime on firms because the risk management techniques employed before the crisis did not accurately reflect what could happen. In particular risk models allowed firms (and regulators) to ignore tail-risks. As a result many firms have found themselves badly exposed in the crisis. In order to mitigate against this happening again the FSA is making stress testing and reverse stress testing mandatory. Let's answer a few questions.
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Displaying 1 to 6 of 6 results in total.
12th April 2009
The FSA wants to see more stress and scenario testing in firms. Senior management should be involved. Previous assumptions have been too relaxed. Stress testing should be in detail with the mitigating actions rehearsed. Reverse stress testing is introduced as a method of identifying critical events. The FSA is not going to tell you how to do this, it's up to you. However firms can expect greater challenge on the assumptions made.
16th June 2010
A lot's been written about the board's appetite or tolerance for risk. But very little has been said about what this means. Perhaps this will help.
1st November 2009
A contractual cash flow report for a bank will show you that liabilities have shorter maturities than assets. That's because running liquidity risk generally makes money. But it has risks. Lack of confidence can lead to a real shortage of cash. That's why banks hold liquidity buffers. But measuring liquidity risk goes beyond what is contracted. It needs to assess the behaviour of markets and individuals. It's why stress testing is in vogue. Stress testing can't predict the future but it can give you an estimate for your liquidity buffer. It's likely to be a lot bigger than previously and it's going to cost your firm more, that's unless you can pass the cost on through transfer pricing.
16th January 2010
A trader will tell you that there is a simple rule to pricing. The starting point is the cost of hedging.
31st January 2009
This CP sets out the FSA's plans to reform the liquidity regime. It requires firms to undertake a much more rigorous analysis of their liquidity position. This includes the effect of stressed conditions on their business. The firm will submit what it considers to be an appropriate liquidity buffer to the regulator. The FSA will then decide whether it is sufficient. In determining the buffer the FSA will also assess the firm's systems and management. If these are considered weak the buffer will be increased accordingly. The liquidity buffer can only be held in liquid assets. The FSA's view is that this primarily means Gilts, sovereign debt or central bank deposits. The FSA makes it clear, "The responsibility of adopting a sound approach to liquidity risk management is on firms and their senior management".
12th June 2010
The regulator is asking boards to define their risk appetite and risk tolerance. Whilst this insistence may be reasonable it certainly doesn't make it any easier to do. Just how do you measure the level of risk you have and then how do you relate that to your firm?